Trend line in Jan Beans to Sell: Good Exports don't trade higher on good exports

1) funds are still long 70K estimated beans.  short 220K estimated corn.

Why when we get good exports did we see beans only rally a nickel.?  SX made it back to the 13.00 print. What a gift.  Just Tuesday we were down at 12.68, sweating out the longs who took beans after expiration.   I had been long, but got stopped out for a 7 cent loss vs.  a 30 cent loss. 

So.. I am selling rallies here in Jan beans.  In front of next Friday’s USDA report, I look for beans to head south again.  In Jan the recent low was 12.64.  We are trading right at 1279 now.  That’s a 15 cent downside target.  Risk it to a close above 87. 

Gold what happened?  we didn’t get the 1375 print I was looking for.  The high was 1361.  Today we are at 1324. If you bought last week and used a trailing sell stop, you should have locked in a profit. I had been long against 1338.  I had stops at 50 and 55. and the last was at 1340 for a push. 

Gold is still in a short term up move.  1320 is support, and then 1307 is good support. I’d initiate longs at 13.07 if we get that flush.  we are 4 bucks from the 1320 level as I write this.  Buy here but keep your stop really tight.  I’d rather buy at 1307.

CER

 
 
 
 
this is  Trend line Jan beans. I’d use that upside at 12.95 to initiate sells.
CER
 

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