Get Ready for Friday Unemployment:: S&P 1900 and Dow 17000?

Two Charts to look at on the Stock Indexes prior to Friday’s Unemployment figures:

YMM14 (Doe Index) 16.465 remains the high which was posted on New years Eve, just 3 months ago. After that , we had the February Swoon, followed by the bulls fighting back every bit of that 7% pull back.
Friday we look to be funneling into a real test of that old high.  A settlement above that level would open the door for Dow 17,300.
A lot of the general public is still out of this market. As always,  its going to take a big psychological target to bring them back.  I don’t know if its 18K, or 20K but somewhere along the line, (not yet) we’ll have people who swore they would never own a stock after 2009, happily writing checks to double down again on the stock market trying to get their piece of that 8% historical average rate of return.  Note the chart below:

There is a wall of resistance there on the charts at 14,465.  Sell it, but be prepared to flip and go long in case we take off.  Eventually, one this level is taken out,  it should turn into good support.

Below look at the Broader S&P June future for comparison:

   Looking at this chart
You can see that its in a major bullish channel, but it too is bouncing  up against its recent all time high at 1880.   This chart shows how tempting is is to be short the S&P anticipating a potential roll over down to the bottom of that support.  Certainly a move higher is not a slam dunk.  The trend has been bullish, and until that Feb low is challenged,  that remains in tact.    If you are a seller at 1880, you’d better be ready to run for cover if the bulls get their horns into it and are able to race shorts out, fueled by new speculative money pouring in during the first 2 weeks of April.
For that reason,  Friday’s Unemployment might be the catalyst for something more than more political theater in D.C.
 
CER

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