Grains Rally into Trendline Area of Resistance

As of 938 AM CST, the high in SF is 1011 3/4… There is a trendline intersection at 1014 3/4. Watch that level as a potential fulcrom of activity today.
In the Corn, the intersection is the 403 1/4 area, and in the WZ, (Dec Wheat) we popped above the trend line yesterday, so we have support with the same trend line today at 551.
Watch these levels.
I will update the rest of the markets in about an hour.

Good Trading

Gold and Silver Post New Highs for the Record Books

Today, Monday the 16th was a day for the record books.
First in the Metals, we had Gold and Silver posting new all time highs and high settlements. In the US Stock Indexes, we had new 1-year highs and 1-year high settlements (Actually 13 Month highs, but 1 year makes more sense).

In fact, in the S&P Cash from the March 08 Lows at 666, we have rallied 547 handles to today’s high at 1,113. I wrote earlier in the day that I can’t imagine anyone at your 4th of July Picnic would have taken the over/under bet for these Stock Indexes.
I know no-one […]

New Highs, Gold and Silver, While Volatility Racks the Grains

Currently, Gold and Silver have made new all time highs.. Gold at 1143.40 and Silver at 18.45…From this action you have to start considering 20 dollar an oz Silver and 1,250 $/oz Gold.
Ironically, this occurs on the day when President Obama lands in China. There had been rumors of agreements, or pressure to have China let the Yuan float against all the world’s currencies…Perhaps this is the market’s way of anticipating the 2percent chance that something concrete will come out of this visit other than photo ops and discussions as to whether or not the President of the United States has to bow to […]

Monday Morning and New Highs In Stock Indexes, Gold and Silver

Gold and Silver have both posted new all time highs this morning after strong overnight action. SPZ and DJZ, the stock indexes, have made new 9 month highs as well, as it seems that the weakness in the dollar will continue to put US equities, as well as our commodities on sale for the rest of the world.
All the grains are currently higher as well, however, with the usual volatility, we have seen pull backs off of our early morning highs.
Today looks like a day to attempt to buy dips, or pullbacks in these markets.
As of 10:30 AM, CST, Gold has […]

930 CST And All the Commodities Are Higher

Corn, Wheat, Beans are all higher so far tonight. In sympathy, apparently, with higher gold prices, as Gold pokes up to a new all time high at 1127.90… While the night is still young, and as Europe wakes up to a Monday Morning bullish momentum, I would be surprised if traders don’t push to get the 1130.00 if for no other reason than to hit that nice round number. If the pattern holds, however, once that print is posted, look for a 10 to 15 dollar down draft. All the way up, we have seen new all time highs met with sharp corrections… Its a […]

Grains Higher Early On, and Dow Futures Flirt with 10,300

Early on here Sunday night, we have had a 7 cent trading range in Jan Beans, spurred mostly from one short covering order. On the screen 400 contracts traded at the high so far at 1001, with a low at 993, 7 cents below that high. The trade volume is posted next to each price on the screen, so obviously, the computer matched up all the buys and sells early on at 1001, and then there was a vacuum for 7 cents…
I have written in the past that this is the bane of electronic trading. Say what you want about open outcry, it worked […]

Who Said Today Would Be Quiet ?

Oh my, so much for a quiet day. Lots of volatility in the grains with some two sided trade across the board.
To begin with, what a nutty day in Jan Beans (SF)… Opened higher, shot up to a new high for the week at 1009. For a moment I thought our trend line was going to come into play at the 1018 level… Another shattered bullish dream, though, as selling came in and drove us down inexorably to a day session low at 983 1/2, 26 cents off the high… For a moment in the afternoon, it looked as if we were going down […]

Sleepy Friday After a Big Week in Commodities

Today could be sleepy. Certainly we have had a big week with fund re-balancing evident as they came for the corn and beans, while exiting longs in Crude Oil and Gold.
Most likely we will have continued choppy, restless trade with a few opportunities for some profitable trades.
For now the markets look relatively quiet, and being Friday coming into the Holidays, I would expect thinly traded markets across the board.
Watch the Stocks for any weakness, as they are vulnerable to a correction lower. How much lower depends on which bearish advisor you like to read the most.
Corn, Wheat And Beans will be […]

Bearish Pattern in Gold, Bullish In Beans

Good evening, I just wanted to apologise because my first posting after the close was totally wrong. I was writing it with about ten other things going on at the same time, and I got a couple major items wrong. If you happened to read it and were confused, you were not the only one. I got some interesting email from readers.

That reminds me, if you like what I write, spread the word, leave a comment, send me an email, whatever. I am available for any question(s) you might have. I live in Chicago, on CST, so if you are in a different time […]

Volatility Thursday in the Grains

We’ve now had a 13 cent pull back off of the highs in Jan Beans, and a minor correction off of the day’s rally action in corn and wheat as well. As we head into the close, I would look at the 986 level in SF, as it was a recent high.. If that can hold, then the rally remain intact. We have seen some hedger selling coming in to take advantage of these higher prices, and as we got closer to the ten dollar level in the Beans, the hedgers showed up. We will have to see if the fund money can overcome the […]