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Good Morning,
I am writing this installment on Saturday Morning October third… Yesterday saw a clean sell off in the grain markets. Corn, Beans, Wheat futures all settled on their lows of the session, and in most cases new multi-week low settlements.
A couple things continue to weigh on these markets.

First off, is the size of the crop now being harvested. Informa came out with estimates of a 13.1 Billion Bushel Crop in the Corn along with a 3.3 Billion Bushel Soybean crop. And the harvest is still on going, so both of those could and should grow further.. The lone fear which had […]

This morning at 730 CST, stocks extended their losses, with the Dow looking at around 9350 level and the S&P down to the 1012 level.. In a classic, sell the rumor buy the fact, savvy traders profited off of panicked longs, or weak shorts who either puked their longs for losses, or more likely got short in the hole after the number… Literally in about 2 minutes after the number, the indexes had made their lows, but hung around down there long enough to make the weak shorts think they would eventually be all right…
Here it is 12:45 PM and the markets have almost […]

This morning at 730 CST, stocks extended their losses, with the Dow looking at around 9350 level and the S&P down to the 1012 level.. In a classic, sell the rumor buy the fact, savvy traders profited off of panicked longs, or weak shorts who either puked their longs for losses, or more likely got short in the hole after the number… Literally in about 2 minutes after the number, the indexes had made their lows, but hung around down there long enough to make the weak shorts think they would eventually be all right…
Here it is 12:45 PM and the markets have almost […]

November beans indeed snapped below the 900 level, traded to a low of 895 1/2 and perhaps is now looking for a snap back higher, temporarily…I would be a buyer here with a stop market below.

It looks as if the stock indexes over did it this morning on the down side, with both the Dec Dow and S&Ps having a bounce rally off of their multi week low prints which came out this morning after the unemployment numbers were released. These markets are at the mercy of the puppet masters, the large funds with plenty of money to push the futures markets around, looking […]

Ok, so once again, this price action looks kind of iffy. A week ago, on Sep 24th, the Dec Dow contract had a high print of 9866, 140 pts away from the 10000 level..The SPZ had a high at 1075… today the Dec Dow printed a low of 9336 and the SPZ printed 1011, lol… over 60 handles in the SPZ and over 500 pts in the Dow..
Granted, this has been after a 6 month rally, but this price action shows how the markets go down 3 times as fast as when they go up.. This rule seems to hold true for all markets […]

Just wondering how secure the jobs data is… I find it interesting that Thursday before the report, stock indexes move sharply lower and low and behold there is a worse than expected jobs report. The Dow is around 450pts lower from its recent highs, and the s&ps are also sharply lower.

Is this a natural correction after a 57 percent run up? yes, but I just have to question the timing and the market action which preceded today’s action.
I imagine all the markets will be lower across the board in sympathy with this action.

Overall, it will have an initially bearish tone to the […]

Just wondering how secure the jobs data is… I find it interesting that Thursday before the report, stock indexes move sharply lower and low and behold there is a worse than expected jobs report. The Dow is around 450pts lower from its recent highs, and the s&ps are also sharply lower.

Is this a natural correction after a 57 percent run up? yes, but I just have to question the timing and the market action which preceded today’s action.
I imagine all the markets will be lower across the board in sympathy with this action.

Overall, it will have an initially bearish tone to the […]

For years when the bond futures pits actually had live traders doing price discovery through open outcry, many large traders would only show up for the monthly unemployment day. Generally the bonds would break or rally violently usually a point or a point and a half depending on that number. There truly was nothing like standing in that pit or in that room at 7:29:55 right before the number was released.

A palpable feeling of anticipation, like waiting for a tidal wave to ride if you were a surfer… trade skillfully and you had a great opportunity.. trade stupidly, and you’d wonder how long you […]

November beans tried to rally, fell below the 935 level and have moved sharply lower below the 918 level…Dec Corn is below 340 and Dec Wheat is below 450.. Yesterday’s bounce up looks to have been short covering driven, and more of a technical bounce in the face of the fundamentals.’
Also we are watching the outside markets pull us down. Dow is looking like it will pierce the 9500 level… and the s&p’s are 18 handles lower at 1033…. Looks like a flush lower momentum could weigh across the board today.
C