Don't Fight The Fed

The Fed’s James Bullard suggested that the QE might start up , or never officially end as its supposed to at the end of this Month. Of course, many had anticipated a fed rate hike in March. That has all been shelved, with 1) the slow down in Europe 2) the German’s reluctance to ease 3) China apparently slowing down 4) The drop in oil prices, suggesting a world wide slow down and finally 5) Ebola. If Ebola gets into the heads of the US public and they decide to stay home and stop shopping, then we have a slow down because the consumer is […]

You got your 10%– Open your check book and buy

The low so far over night in the S&P was 1815. 2 ticks from yesterday’s low at 1813. The low in the Dow futures so far was 15785. 20 ticks from yesterday’s low at 15769. The return to volatility will give opportunity, because typically, we will trade through a 200 to 300 point trading range in the Dow. In the late 90’s and early 2000’s we had 200 to 300 point trading ranges every day and we’d trade through them in general, at least 2 times. So its a good trading environment if you pick your spots carefully. Technicals are your crutch, and if you […]

Volatility demands discipline

The Dow futures were down to 15964 on the low, that’s 1315 off the record high at 17279, for a 7.6% correction. Missed the 10 percent, so far. The S&P Dec futures bottomed so far, at 1830. 184 handles; That’s 9.1%. I have never seen the bonds up 5 handles. Early on the 830 AM bell, we had that in the 30 year. That spike looked like a liquidation trade. Someone’s risk meter was pegged, and the computers did a GMO order- GET ME OUT. Currently, we are 26 handles off the lows in the S&P. and 100 points off the lows in the Dow. […]

Bonds rally 5 points so far, Dow And S&P headed for those 10% correction

Money flow looks to be going 1) to bonds 2) to grains 3)downside to the stock indexes. Remember, I’ve been talking about the 10% correction: that’s 15,550 in the Dow futures, that’s just 450 points away. Then we have 1812 , which is just 26 handles away from current levels. as of this writing. Dow futures low is 16002, S&P low is 1835. We seem destined for the 10% correction, probably before lunch. CER

Bonds rally 5 points so far, Dow And S&P headed for those 10% correction

Money flow looks to be going 1) to bonds 2) to grains 3)downside to the stock indexes. Remember, I’ve been talking about the 10% correction: that’s 15,550 in the Dow futures, that’s just 450 points away. Then we have 1812 , which is just 26 handles away from current levels. as of this writing. Dow futures low is 16002, S&P low is 1835. We seem destined for the 10% correction, probably before lunch. CER

Delays, Rallies and No Guarantees – Traders Exclusive – Chris Robinson talks about how there are some good opportunities in grains and livestock. The grains had a good rally and there has been a delay in the harvest. In cattle last Thursday there was key r

Delays, Rallies and No Guarantees – Traders Exclusive – Chris Robinson talks about how there are some good opportunities in grains and livestock. The grains had a good rally and there has been a delay in the harvest. In cattle last Thursday there was key r

7-1/2 % Correction for S&P/ 6% for the Dow

Quick 347PM update. 7 1/2 percent pull back in the Dec S&P on the low at 1864. We are back to the May lows. 150 handles from the record high last month at 2014. 10% takes us to 1813. FYI 6% pullback for the Dow futures.Today’s low? 16221 which is 1,058 points removed from its record high 4 weeks ago. 15,551 is a 10% correction. The August low was 16143. We’ll see how the market trades to night. 10% is looking more and more like its in the cards. QE is ending. There seems to be a collective worry now that we are about to […]

7-1/2 % Correction for S&P/ 6% for the Dow

Quick 347PM update. 7 1/2 percent pull back in the Dec S&P on the low at 1864. We are back to the May lows. 150 handles from the record high last month at 2014. 10% takes us to 1813. FYI 6% pullback for the Dow futures.Today’s low? 16221 which is 1,058 points removed from its record high 4 weeks ago. 15,551 is a 10% correction. The August low was 16143. We’ll see how the market trades to night. 10% is looking more and more like its in the cards. QE is ending. There seems to be a collective worry now that we are about to […]