Will the Dow continue its 700 point wide sideways grind?

The low yesterday in YMM was 16.310. Today’s high , so far was 16,521. 200 pts on one mini Dow is 1000 bucks.  Resistance above looks to be at 16,550 and then 16,600.  Today is Wednesday and we’re heading into the long Holiday Weekend.
A 200 pt rally is not that big a deal, in my opinion.  Back in 1998 through 2002, we had daily 200 to 300 pt trading ranges, and we traded the whole range, sometimes twice during a 7 hour trading day.
This is one reason I get so circumspect at commentators and analysts who have no historical basis for their […]

What’s up in the Dow and S&P?

While no technical tools are infallible (if they were we’d all be billionaires)   there are some good levels below current levels in June Dow and June S&P. First start with the Dow.

Everyone for the past 6 months have been barfing all over their shoes trying to sell this market.  For all the noise, we’ve really been in a trading range,  albeit a wide one, for a while now.  Since February, the 15,800 to 16,600 has given us an 800 pt trading range.  Considering that at 16000,  100 pts  is slightly more that 1/2 of a percent, we’ve had a lot of 1/2 % […]

What's up in the Dow and S&P?

While no technical tools are infallible (if they were we’d all be billionaires)   there are some good levels below current levels in June Dow and June S&P. First start with the Dow.

Everyone for the past 6 months have been barfing all over their shoes trying to sell this market.  For all the noise, we’ve really been in a trading range,  albeit a wide one, for a while now.  Since February, the 15,800 to 16,600 has given us an 800 pt trading range.  Considering that at 16000,  100 pts  is slightly more that 1/2 of a percent, we’ve had a lot of 1/2 % […]

For Hedgers: Mexico Imports Russian Wheat

Corn: July Corn settled down 11 ¼ cents at $4.84 ¼, which is the lowest settlement 7 weeks. New crop CZ settled down 8 ½ cents at $4.80 ½, which is also a 7-week low settlement. Corn posted its high in the overnight session and then trended lower all day. Key technical levels fell today as the weather window looks clear through at least Monday. While there are still approximately 14 million acres left of corn to plant in the northern corn belt, prospects are improving. Those areas […]

Watch as New Crop CZ15 Corn slips to a 6- week low settlment

Since the January 4 year low down at  $4.35  CZ had a nice 82 cent rally, capped off at $ 5.17 back on April 9th, which was an 8-month high. Round about those highs a couple of “well respected’ grain brokers started touting 5.50 corn and assured their clients that 5.00 corn was a thing of the past.
That alone, in my opinion,  was a glaring sell signal.

First, note the blue trend-line.  If CZ14 is unable to settle above that trend line, that is bearish […]

My Stock Index Opinion

If you’ve followed my blog, you can see I have not really changed my opinion on the Stock Indexes. I started trading them actively in 1998 in the Dow Jones Pit and have been through a lot of different markets. I traded through the Dot com bubble,  The 911 attack,  and I watched in 2009 as the Dow dropped from 14300 to 6500 and the S&P traded to its low in the futures of 666.
So I base my opinion on that experience. I also should tell you that I graduated from Colgate University in 1988, just 6 months after the 87 crash when I […]

USDA Report – Traders Exclusive – Chris Robinson talks about the USDA Report that came out this past Friday. There has been a little bit of a turnaround Tuesday, but nothing impressive.

USDA Report – Traders Exclusive – Chris Robinson talks about the USDA Report that came out this past Friday. There has been a little bit of a turnaround Tuesday, but nothing impressive.